在这里，我对当前业务模型进行了完全投机的看法，围绕3D打印，随着这项技术的发展持续发展，它们可能会在几年内看起来像几年。3D打印社区中的一些将这项技术与互联网进行了比较，很少有人可以否认changed pretty much everything — from work to play, money to sex. 3D printing has been forecast in some circles to be just as disruptive. Combining these two technologies, which is happening already, is only going to bring disruption at a whole new level.
提到online 3D print shop熟悉业务模型的插座和诸如i.materialise，shapeways和cubsife等舌头的名称。许多公司都通过类似的服务建立 - 就在本周，伦敦的新砖和砂浆3D印刷商店Imakr宣布了自己的在线3D印刷服务。
在线3D打印商店，可以提供最广泛的输入方法：Web应用程序和浏览器扩展程序，磁盘的电子邮件和邮政服务，以及更广泛的市场智能手机应用程序。
App’s are already emerging to simplify the process, such as Sculpteo’s 3D printing Collaborative Design Maker and it’s range of personalized cups, vases and so forth. Userfication of platforms to further ease the main obstacle to mass-market saturation, simplicity, is under way.
未来吗?到2030年,3 d打印商店不会extant as an individual entity, merely part of the services offered by what remains of the high street and in hypermarkets. Before then: mergers and acquisitions, with cheaper ways to produce more materials being the onus. By 2030 I’ll be choosing vegetarian only menu options if I can’t drive by my local bio-printing Fast Food restaurant – 3DP applications will have found their niches and become simplified enough to be an unnoticeable part of everyday life.
3D printer networksare more recent.Make xyz.comand3D集线器这种商业模式的早期发起者和的吗fer to link printers with makers, designers with consumers. This phenomenon is arguably the most transformational, and certainly excites me the most. Here, perhaps, lays the key to a whole new world of production.
Whilst home 3D printing is years away for most potential users, the chance to have your personalized item printed by someone who做own a 3D printer in a competitive pricing marketplace for 3D prints creates a decentralized economy. As the cost of printing materials comes down, and the prevalence of 3D printers increases to reduce postage costs, a brave new world of home manufacturing becomes not just possible but plausible.
未来吗?“发达经济体”中的大多数城市都将在几年内拥有可访问的Home 3D打印机网络，尽管人口稀少。最大的社会福利将对不像“开发”的国民经济相关 - 随着互联网访问量和小型远程社区的融合来投资3D打印机。这些网络的长期吸收在中国和印度将是最大的：在哪里出现了最大需求，需求，要求从贫困中提升群众。
Already the在线3D打印库场地looks distinctly over saturated: Many tens have emerged within the past year, some fantastic work has been put in by a number of teams across the globe. It’s worth noting that many 3D file repositories already existed that harbor compatible files even before conic repository MakerBot’s Thingiverse ushered in the era of the 3D printable targeted repository for open-source files.
Although the largest, Thingiverse is now one of many – MakerBot may not have aided their cause with a public relations incident late last year when the wording of it’s legal script was changed, causing misinterpretation from users who believed the rights to their work to have been assimilated (akin to what Instagram users later experienced), resulting in a number of alternatives to be spawned within the week. Those alternatives have continued to grow. And grow.
Positively, this market saturation produces competition: only the better facilities will survive.
未来吗?到2030年，沃尔玛风格的企业整体将拥有可下载的3D打印派的最大切片，可从其他传统买卖/收集在线购物中不确定。大量的销售和开源3D可打印文件（无论是通过传统公司还是家庭用户）以及21世纪的版权之战而存在。
Repositoryand搜索引擎will merge quickly, as service providers seek innovative ways to crack visual search and the descriptive elements required to find particular items. Expect to see 3D visualization methods peak early and new entry methods such as match-my-sketch (quickly rough a 3D form to search for it’s shape equivalents) and even voice-to-visual (for the sight impaired) search emerge.
未来吗?By 2030, mind-controlled inputs and holographic displays for your future 3D-printables Search Engine. Too sci-fi? Both technologies are forecast to be emergent within that time-frame, the ‘3D search input problem’ will be persistent, and persistent problems cause persistent innovation. Next year we could be looking at entering search criteria in blinks on our Google Glass display…
制造商网络。The social network for makers has been surprisingly slow off the starting blocks: various online communities have emerged, but what of the network of makers connecting to collaborate online, using cloud based services to create designs and plans, exchange thoughts and evaluate work. Arguably Thingiverse facilitates this function, with social elements such as Like and Follow, and allows users to dip into each others 3D-printables to create their own version.
The potential is far greater. The Facebook of 3D printing is inevitable – indeed the Twitter @name is already taken. For now, the usual hangouts of the 3D printing fraternity, from the RepRap forums to the, highly active, Google+ 3D printing Group, the Github repositories for 3D printer program code and Ponoko’s API’s for platform based development are all there. If any readers are familiar with existing or planned networks, sharing in the comments section may arouse the interest and gratitude of fellow readers.
The internet, and 3D printing, already go hand in hand. Without the explosion of internet use, a transition from urban to digital landscapes massively quicker than the transition from rural to urban, 3D printing’s potential would be far less. Sure, it may all have just developed a different way – those open-source files would be bundled on CD-ROMs with printers with ‘Thingi-shops’ popping up on many high streets selling disk collections and the latest fashion for printable items. Possibly with a coffee service and mellow jazz background music!
Instead, networked computing means that we have the beginnings of a different kind of ‘Internet of Things’ – less about somewhat spooky networked monitoring of your tumble drier’s digital systems, more about an internet of 3D printable creations that are actively participated in by demographically and geographically disparate contributors.
3D打印机网络，3D打印机搜索，制造商网络：这些概念是最新的。
New ideas create more lateral thought, and over-excitement, in projections. After all, it’s still just as empirical a proposition to suggest that by 2030, at best, 3D printing will be experiencing a minor retro comeback for those who missed a passing fad the first time round in the 2010’s.
How can we shed light on the crystal ball?
Next time, with considerable ambition, I’ll be looking at ways we can create a more scientific epistemology of projection for 3D printing technologies, and their impact upon the global economy.
[NB: Repository 3DLT, 3D printer network Makexyz, 3D search engine3Dindustri.es&a social network marketplace announced they had teamed up last week the day after the proof of this article was written – impartially regarding who achieved it: it’s great to see these concepts catalysing for social benefit.]